Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.522999 3.913038 4.336350 4.831205 5.395456 6.020679 6.768497
2025-06-01 2.918097 3.429659 4.024064 4.770564 5.689722 6.793127 8.231026
2025-06-08 2.547813 3.118912 3.816283 4.740031 5.945783 7.486186 9.635623
2025-06-15 2.363986 2.993524 3.794928 4.905801 6.431061 8.489791 11.545421
2025-06-22 2.152934 2.801226 3.654688 4.882492 6.640605 9.126273 13.016652
2025-06-29 1.972166 2.626297 3.512704 4.829838 6.787018 9.671283 14.408679
2025-07-06 1.759827 2.386951 3.256509 4.582588 6.613124 9.709054 15.002535
2025-07-13 1.657890 2.292382 3.193695 4.606630 6.840985 10.375738 16.692509
2025-07-20 1.586759 2.234913 3.177348 4.694907 7.171842 11.236698 18.831594
2025-07-27 1.527002 2.188434 3.171597 4.795729 7.528562 12.176315 21.250716
2025-08-03 1.464519 2.132415 3.145426 4.858841 7.824895 13.041779 23.664416
2025-08-10 1.401511 2.070575 3.104405 4.891782 8.069176 13.838365 26.068330
2025-08-17 1.303976 1.950079 2.964140 4.750126 7.997723 14.057818 27.362649
2025-08-24 1.232308 1.866206 2.877329 4.692846 8.073484 14.567061 29.368822
2025-08-31 1.172417 1.797362 2.810070 4.663258 8.196136 15.181161 31.718953
2025-09-07 1.152330 1.792193 2.848598 4.825858 8.703015 16.641761 36.333610
2025-09-14 1.101665 1.732623 2.789546 4.803014 8.839925 17.339415 39.229861
2025-09-21 1.050287 1.668749 2.718596 4.751388 8.911942 17.903089 41.898327
2025-09-28 0.972763 1.555926 2.554525 4.508928 8.564063 17.481089 41.855441
2025-10-05 0.941361 1.521440 2.528373 4.532507 8.781373 18.385930 45.667778
2025-10-12 0.921127 1.505282 2.534114 4.619078 9.143280 19.682344 50.914443
2025-10-19 0.903625 1.492879 2.545707 4.717943 9.542722 21.129263 56.991610
2025-10-26 0.882059 1.471887 2.539742 4.779827 9.864421 22.428779 62.960606